Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 9.464500 10.533302 11.684304 13.017770 14.522339 16.169942 18.114275
2025-06-29 7.463591 8.854396 10.461500 12.462949 14.898572 17.778728 21.460787
2025-07-06 6.176003 7.730810 9.637709 12.164382 15.447977 19.602820 25.308936
2025-07-13 5.460710 7.165802 9.370191 12.457759 16.716430 22.450323 30.867890
2025-07-20 4.917528 6.726419 9.176509 12.782710 18.031471 25.510808 37.189394
2025-07-27 4.428116 6.281753 8.897786 12.922170 19.069796 28.293282 43.535986
2025-08-03 3.947540 5.781203 8.464095 12.755951 19.601418 30.360078 49.083021
2025-08-10 3.539392 5.333797 8.046000 12.541619 20.001079 32.238075 54.585120
2025-08-17 3.196161 4.943511 7.664177 12.323560 20.342917 34.035332 60.201914
2025-08-24 2.920482 4.627690 7.360481 12.186345 20.784466 36.034825 66.477868
2025-08-31 2.699155 4.375438 7.129784 12.137434 21.359232 38.326331 73.661272
2025-09-07 2.565639 4.254217 7.102069 12.433269 22.584073 41.969487 84.132481
2025-09-14 2.370778 4.014310 6.854087 12.317177 23.050239 44.282533 92.414662
2025-09-21 2.170692 3.746987 6.532049 12.027089 23.142966 45.871427 99.452975
2025-09-28 2.011191 3.537328 6.293113 11.866891 23.471495 47.989956 108.099060
2025-10-05 1.935660 3.473790 6.317215 12.224940 24.917144 52.715575 123.882118
2025-10-12 1.865922 3.414125 6.341671 12.584668 26.413902 57.790378 141.633855
2025-10-19 1.778783 3.312955 6.274911 12.745025 27.490334 62.066464 158.266095
2025-10-26 1.666063 3.151929 6.073799 12.594044 27.834932 64.645895 170.870262
2025-11-02 1.558219 2.991578 5.859405 12.389629 28.025996 66.874928 182.988515
2025-11-09 1.459237 2.841129 5.652120 12.178243 28.171960 69.012375 195.335370
2025-11-16 1.375720 2.715835 5.486785 12.044865 28.493075 71.662027 209.882512
2025-11-23 1.306340 2.614585 5.364066 11.997709 29.026587 74.974409 227.352582